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	« September 2004 \| Main \| November 2004 » Kerry's Lead Among Independents Makes Bush's Situation Extremely Dire (Oct 31) About the Final Pew Poll (Oct 31) National Tracking Poll Roundup (Oct 31) Analysis of Zogby State Tracking Polls (Oct 31) Stan Greenberg Speaks! (Oct 30) Des Moines Register Poll: Kerry Leads by 3 in Iowa (Oct 30) Kerry Leads in NH, PA, MN, Tied in NV, Down 4 in VA (Oct 30) State by State (Oct 30) Kerry Ahead by 1 in New ARG National Poll (Oct 30) National Tracking Poll Roundup (Oct 30) Newsweek Poll: Bush Up 3, Approval At 46% (Oct 30) It's "Real Clear" That Bush Is in Trouble (Oct 30) Kerry Up 1 in NM, Tied in NH (Oct 30) Where Can I Get a Good EV Count? (Oct 29) Tracking the Tracking Polls: The Comparison to 2000 (Oct 29) Tracking the Tracking Polls: The Sequel (Oct 29) RVs or LVs? (Oct 29) Analysis of the Big Four (Oct 29) Kerry Takes Lead in New Florida Poll (Oct 29) Kerry Ahead by 6 and 4 in Pair of New MI Polls (Oct 29) More Evidence Suggesting a High Turnout Election (Oct 29) Miami Dade County Poll: Kerry Running Stronger Than Gore in 2000 (Oct 29) Latest PA Poll: Kerry Ahead by 5 (Oct 29) High Turnout: Advantage Democrats (Oct 28) New Democracy Corps Analysis Shows Bush Suffering Major Loss of Support Among College-Educated Men (Oct 28) The Economy May Not Be Everything (Oct 28) More on the Nader Non-Factor (Oct 28) Kerry Ahead by 4 and 3 in Pair of New National Polls (Oct 28) New ARG Polls: Kerry Ahead in OR, WI, Lags in IA (Oct 28) Quinnipiac Poll: Kerry, Bush tied Among FL RV's (Oct 28) Analysis of Major National Polls (Oct 28) WaPo/Univision/TRPI Poll: Kerry Ahead Nearly 2-1 Among Latino RV's (Oct 28) New Polls Have Kerry Ahead in OH, PA, IA, Lagging in FL (Oct 28) A Stroll Down Memory Lane (Oct 27) You Know Michigan's Safe Now! (Oct 27) Blacks and the 2004 Election (Oct 26) Kerry Ahead by 1 in New Harris Poll (Oct 26) Latest LA Times Poll: Kerry/Edwards Leading By 1% in Horserace (Oct 26) Latest Democracy Corps Survey Shows Kerry Up By Two Nationwide and Leading 52-45 in Battleground States. (Oct 26) Latest Pennsylvania Poll is 13th to Show Kerry Leading Bush, This Time by 49-44 (Oct 26) Latest ARG Polls: Kerry Leading By 3% in Florida, 2% In Ohio, 3% in Pennsylvania. (Oct 26) Gallup Vs. Everyone Else (Oct 26) The "How Can Gallup........" Game (Florida Edition) (Oct 26) New Polls Show Kerry leads by 9% in NH, 2% in FL (Oct 25) New Gallup Poll Shows Movement Toward Kerry (Oct 25) Analysis of Trends in Major Media Polls (Oct 25) Bush's Battleground Blues (Continued) (Oct 25) New Voters for Kerry (Oct 24) Time Vs. Newsweek (Oct 24) Tracking the Tracking Polls (Oct 24) The State of the Race With 9 Days to Go (Oct 24) Race Close and Bush under 50 in Pair of NV Polls (Oct 24) Kerry Surges to Dead Heat in Arkansas (Oct 24) Two New Polls Have Kerry Ahead by 1, Dead Heat in Florida (Oct 24) Democracy Corps Poll: Kerry Ahead 2, Up 7 in Battleground (Oct 23) Kerry Leads in 10th Straight PA Poll (Oct 23) Kerry Leads by 13 Among College Students (Oct 23) The Nader Non-Factor (Oct 22) Advocates of Government Action to Reduce Inequality Prefer Kerry (Oct 22) Another Solid Lead for Kerry in Ohio (Oct 22) Paul Krugman Weighs in on the Gallup Problem (Oct 22) About those Mason-Dixon Polls (Oct 22) Quinnipiac Poll: Kerry Leads in PA by 6 (Oct 22) Kerry Up by 5 in Ohio (Oct 21) Bush's Battleground Blues (Oct 21) SurveyUSA Poll: Kerry Leads in MI, Trails in IA and CO (Oct 21) Quinnipiac University Poll: Kerry Down by 1 in Florida (Oct 21) Kerry Leading by 18 in CA (Oct 21) Bush's Approval Ratings in the Latest Pew Poll (Oct 21) A Reply to Gallup's Reply to Critics (Oct 21) A Comment on Andrew Kohut's New York Times Op-Ed (Oct 21) AP-Ipsos Poll: Kerry Leads by 3 (Oct 21) Marist Poll: WH Race Dead Heat (Oct 21) Harris Poll: Kerry Ahead by 7 in Swing States, Down 2 Nation-wide (Oct 20) PRC Poll: Kerry Up 6 in Battleground, Tied Nation-wide (Oct 20) Economist/YouGov Poll: Kerry Up by 2 (Oct 20) NBC News/Wall St. Journal Poll: Kerry Lags by 2% (Oct 20) Kerry Leads by 6 in Maine (Oct 20) Kerry Ahead by 3 in Ohio (Oct 20) Kerry Up 1% in New Mexico (Oct 20) Kerry Has Edge in Pair of NH Polls (Oct 20) Kerry Holds Lead in Two Oregon Polls (Oct 20) Kerry Leads By 5% , Tied in Pair of WI Polls (Oct 20) The Latest Democracy Corps Strategy Memo (Oct 20) SurveyUSA Polls: Kerry has Edge in OH, NJ; Lags in MO, NV and VA (Oct 20) Gallup Poll Racially-Biased (Oct 19) Just How Bad Is That CBS News/New York Times Poll for Bush? (Oct 19) The Race in the Key Battleground States (Oct 19) New Poll Shows New Jersey Is Not in Play (Oct 19) Democracy Corps Poll: Kerry Leads by 3% (Oct 19) Kerry Ahead by 2% in Ohio (Oct 19) NYT/CBS News Poll: Kerry, Bush Locked in Dead Heat (Oct 19) No Further Comment Necessary Department (Oct 19) Kerry Leads, Gains in Key Swing States After 3rd Debate (Oct 18) Bad Gallup! No Biscuit! (Oct 18) You Know, I Think We're Finally Getting to 'Em (Oct 17) Follow-up on Gallup Poll (Oct 17) Gallup Vs. Democracy Corps Redux (Oct 17) New Time Poll Has Race Tied (Oct 17) Inside Scoop on Rove's View of the Election (Oct 16) Fasten Your Seat Belts, Turbulent Polls Ahead (Oct 16) Kerry Leads by 4 in New FL Poll (Oct 16) The Mary Cheney Ploy: Brilliantly Dirty Politics or Just Kinda Weird? (Oct 16) Take Two Articles and Call Me in the Morning (Oct 16) Kerry Up by 1 in WP/ABC Tracking Poll (Oct 15) Scripps Survey Research Center: Kerry Leads by 5% (Oct 15) How Much Did Kerry Gain from the Debates? (Oct 15) Tracking the Tracking Polls (Oct 14) It's a Beautiful Thing (Oct 14) DCorps Survey Confirms Kerry Win in Third Debate (Oct 14) Kerry Wins Third Debate (Oct 13) Kerry Still Ahead in the WP/ABC News Tracking Poll (Oct 13) Midwest Battleground State Polls from Chicago Tribune (Oct 13) Democracy Corps Poll: Kerry, Bush in Dead Heat (Oct 13) Quinnipiac Poll: Kerry Leads by 4 in PA (Oct 13) Kerry Leads by 9% in Oregon (Oct 13) Bush Ahead By 2% in New ICR Poll (Oct 13) Kerry Leads in New Economist Poll (Oct 13) Kerry Takes Lead in WP/ABC Tracking Poll (Oct 12) Notes on the Latest Gallup Poll (Oct 12) State of the Race (Oct 11) New Gallup Poll Shows Progress for Kerry, Weakness for Bush (Oct 11) A Note on Who Posts What (Oct 11) A Note on the ABC News/Washington Post Tracking Poll (Oct 10) Democracy Corps Post-Debate Panel Survey Gives Kerry Solid Win (Oct 9) Kerry Edges Bush in ABC News, Gallup Post-Debate Polls; Wins Independents Easily (Oct 9) Battleground States Results (Oct 8) On Day of Debate, Election is a Dead Heat (Oct 8) Strategy Notes: John Belisarius Democratic Unity is More Important than Yesterday’s Debates (Oct 8) WSJ/Zogby Poll: Kerry Ahead or Tied in All Battleground States (Oct 8) New AP--Ipsos Poll: Kerry, Bush Tied (Oct 7) Swing State Polls: Kerry Running Strong (Oct 7) Stanley Greenberg Analyzes Early Debate Data (Oct 6) Kerry and Bush Remain Tied (Oct 6) Fox News Poll: WH Race in Statistical Tie (Oct 6) Edwards, Cheney Split Debate Polls (Oct 6) Summary of the Post-Debate Polls – Kerry Closes the Gap (Oct 5) Granite State Gains (Oct 5) NYT/CBS News Poll: Kerry, Bush in Dead Heat (Oct 5) WaPo-ABC News Poll: Bush Up 5 (Oct 5) Bush Ahead by 7 in Pew Poll (Oct 5) Zogby Poll: Bush and Kerry Statistically Tied (Oct 4) Gallup, LA Times Polls: Kerry, Bush in Statistical Tie (Oct 4) New Newsweek Poll: Kerry 49, Bush 46 (Oct 2) Leading Pollster Guy Molyneux Explains Why the Media Is Overestimating Bush's Lead (Oct 2) New Democracy Corps Poll Finds Substantial Gains For Kerry as Result of First Debate (Oct 2) Instant Polling Results Helped Limit Republican Spin (Oct 1) Kerry Sweeps Debate Polls (Oct 1)