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March 12, 2007

Does Character Trump Issues with Voters?

Ezra Klein has a riff by Neil the Ethical Werewolf on a new Associated Press/Ipsos poll which found that:

55 percent of those surveyed consider honesty, integrity and other values of character the most important qualities they look for in a presidential candidate...Just one-third look first to candidates' stances on issues; even fewer focus foremost on leadership traits, experience or intelligence.

Is this a bad thing for Dems? Neil thinks so:

The result of this poll is a sad truth that I long ago made my peace with -- voters care more about a candidate's character than the candidate's issue positions, and least of all about experience and other leadership qualities. Character, unfortunately, is something that voters are in a very weak position to judge. Our information about the personal qualities of candidates is subject to much more media distortion than our information about the candidates' issue positions...getting yourself portrayed as a person of honesty and integrity is largely a matter of being able to effectively manipulate the more touchy-feely side of media coverage.

One commenter on Neil's article, Karl Radek adds a couple of interesting insights to the character vs. issues choices made by voters:

For many such voters, it's not so much "character" as "personality" that matters...the personality of candidates tends to be emphasized in part because the two parties are actually pretty evenly matched, and have to fight over the portion of the electorate that we call "swing" voters. People who have strong preferences on the issues tend to be already attached to one side or the other, and are a lot harder to shake loose. A considerable fraction of the "swing" vote, I suspect, is made up of the most frivolous voters, those most easily swayed by considerations of personality. The parties are clawing for the slightest edge to get to 50 percent plus one, so they emphasize the winning personal traits of their guy in order to draw in the clueless and the light-minded... The GOP has been a lot better at this for the past 25 years...The decline of party identification has a lot to do with it too...

Undoubtedly, most voters mix the two considerations in varying measures in making their choice. Yet, on one level, it is disturbing that policy is a primary concern of only a third of voters. Even for progressives, however, character is important. How many times, for example, have we seen progressive candidates dishonor campaign policy promises? (for example, candidates who urged getting tough with China on trade and then caved on the issue after being elected). But Neil's point about media manipulation of character image is hard to deny in light of recent history.

Paul Waldman, senior fellow at Media Matters for America, believes voter choice is more about "identity," than "character" per se, and in his TomPaine.com article, he emphasizes the importance of Dem candidates demonstrating courage:

When Democrats start demonstrating courage, voters stop thinking of them as weaklings....To use just one tough progressive as an example, no one ever called Martin Luther King, Jr. weak, and he was a pacifist. His courage was evident in his words and actions—he didn’t need to advocate war to be considered strong. In order for a fundamental statement of belief to do its political work, it has to be stated with conviction. When you stand up for what you believe in without fear and show how you’re different from your opponents, Americans come to see you as principled and strong. That’s what conservatives have been doing for decades, and as a result they’ve achieved success after success at the ballot box despite the fact that the public has been opposed to most of the policies they want to enact. If progressives can join their popular agenda to an identity based in courage, conviction and contrast with conservatives, there are few limits to what they can accomplish.

All good points for Democratic campaigns to keep in mind on the road to an '08 landslide.
(Note: the original version of this article incorrectly attributed the article to Ezra Klein instead of Neil the Ethical Werewolf)

Posted by EDM staff at 10:11 AM | link

 



EDM Newsletter


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Recent Entries

Fed Prosecutors Purge Driven by Voter Suppression?(Mar 13)

Does Character Trump Issues with Voters?(Mar 12)

Perception of Dems Depends on Iraq Message(Mar 10)

Blue Dogs Have Key Role in Forging Dem Consensus (Mar 9)

GOP Implodes on All Fronts(Mar 7)

New Book Teaches Kids Democratic Values(Mar 6)

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Watch Pair of '07 Gov Races for Clues to '08(Feb 28)

Felon Disenfranchisement: Key Component of Voter Suppression(Feb 27)

Early Polls Have Weak Track Record for Dems(Feb 26)


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