« Kerry Edges Bush in NH Poll |
Main
| Current Exit Poll Results »
November 2, 2004
Final Harris Poll Points to Kerry Victory
John Kerry leads George Bush 50-47 percent of nation-wide LV's, according to the final Harris Interactive Online Survey, conducted 10/29-11/1. Kerry also leads Bush 48-47 percent of nation-wide LV's, according to the final Harris Interactive Telephone Survey. Both poills indicate a surge for Kerry over the previous Harris Poll. The Harris report on the poll notes "If this trend is real, then Kerry may actually do better than these numbers suggest. In the past, presidential challengers tend to do better against an incumbent President among the undecided voters during the last three days of the elections, and that appears to be the case here. The reason: undecided voters are more often voters who dislike the President but do not know the challenger well enough to make a decision. When they decide, they frequently split 2:1 to 4:1 for the challenger."
The Harris Poll in three key states also affirmed the strong likelihood of a Kerry victory:
Florida - Kerry leads 51-47 percent of LV's
Pennsylvania - Kerry ahead 50-48 percent of LV's
Ohio - Kerry up 51-47 percent of LV's
As the Harris report concluded, "Assuming the forecast is correct, Kerry is likely to win all three large states, and almost certainly the White House along with it."
Posted by EDM staff at 02:24 PM | link
|
