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October 31, 2004
Kerry's Lead Among Independents Makes Bush's Situation Extremely Dire
By Alan Abramowitz
No Republican in the modern era has won a presidential election without carrying the independent vote. In the 2000 election, despite losing the national popular vote, George Bush led Al Gore by a narrow margin among independent voters. However, according to the final, supersized Gallup Poll, John Kerry now has an 8 point lead over George Bush among independent voters. In fact, Kerry led Bush among independents in all four Gallup polls this month--by an average of 6 points. This is one more piece of evidence that George Bush's situation is extremely dire.
Posted by Ruy Teixeira at 11:26 PM | link
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