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October 5, 2004
Summary of the Post-Debate Polls – Kerry Closes the Gap
Professor Alan Abramowitz of Emory University, one of the leading academic analysts of American politics. contributes this cogent summary of the post-debate polls.
An analysis of six national polls released since the first presidential debate last Thursday shows that John Kerry has made significant gains against President Bush, reducing the president's lead from an average of 6.6 points before the debate to only 1.8 points after the debate.
The six polls included in the analysis are:
CBS/New York Times
Gallup
ABC/Washington Post
Pew Poll
Zogby Poll
Newsweek
In the six pre-debate polls, Bush's support averaged 49.3 percent compared with 42.7 percent for John Kerry and 2.0 percent for Ralph Nader. In the six post-debate polls, Bush's support averaged 47.8 percent compared with 46.0 percent for Kerry and 1.8 percent for Nader.
These results are based on likely voters when available. Otherwise they are based on registered voters.
Note: as a number of our sharp-eyed readers have pointed out, a typographical error combined the separate CBS/New York Times and Gallup polls on a single line, making it appear that there were only five polls rather then six. The error has been corrected.
Posted by EDM Staff at 12:43 PM | link
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