I haven't been able to find a public link to it, but here are some data from a recent (May 11-16) Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (GQR) poll of LVs in the battleground states (AZ, AR, FL, IA, MI, MN, MO, NV, NH, OH, NM, OR, PA, WA, WI, WV). The poll finds that only 36 percent of voters in these states think the US is headed in the right direction, compared to 57 percent who think it's going in the wrong direction.

Bush's approval rating is at 46 percent, with 50 percent disapproval, and Kerry is leading Bush in a trial heat match-up by 5 points (50-45). This result is consistent with most other data from the battleground states as a whole, which have shown Kerry with at least a modest lead for quite some time. Note also that Kerry's lead is a slightly larger 6 points among independents in the battleground states (48-42), another good sign for the Kerry campaign.

Finally, the GQR poll finds that Kerry has made gains among battleground voters, compared to one month ago, on whether various positive characteristics describe Kerry well. Examples include: "will keep America strong" (up 9 points to 57 percent); "honest and trustworthy" (up 7 points to 57 percent); "strong leader" (up 7 points to 59 percent); and "has what it takes to be President" (up 6 points to 57 percent).

Recently-released state level polls include:

Arizona: Behavior Research Center Rocky Mountain poll (April 29-May 4) has Bush up by only 4 over Kerry (46-42). Note Bush's low support level, well into the danger zone for an incumbent.

Florida: ARG poll (May 17-19) has Bush up by a single point (47-46). Besides Bush's low support level, note Kerry's 7 point lead among independents (47-40). In 2000, Gore and Bush split Florida independents down the middle.