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March 22, 2004
Youth, Seniors, Independents and Bush
It's interesting to note that, even with Bush's relatively strong recent performance in horse race questions, and even with Nader thrown into the mix, Bush's soft spots are still readily apparent in the recent Newsweek poll. The Polling Report has the demographic breaks here on this matchup.
The top line on the matchup is that, while Kerry-Bush is a dead heat in the same poll, with Nader thrown in, Bush has a 2 point lead (45-43), with Nader drawing 5. But Kerry still leads among young voters by 48-38, with Nader drawing 7, among senior voters by 18 and among independents by 8 (with Nader drawing 12!). Though the data aren't provided, it's reasonable to assume that Kerry's lead over Bush is larger among all these groups with Nader not included in the matchup.
Posted by Ruy Teixeira at 11:28 PM | link
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