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December 17, 2003

Newer Democrats

Michael Tomasky has an important article, “Is It Time to Believe”, in the new American Prospect that DR recommends to everyone. Tomasky’s basic point is that Howard Dean, regardless of what one thinks about him as a general election candidate, is helping reinvent the Democratic party and that the party was in desperate need of reinvention.

According to Tomaksy, Clinton helped transform the Democratic party’s ideology in the 1990's so that it was more acceptable to swing voters and, hence, more electorally successful. However, despite the important changes of the Clinton era, the party’s basic structure and how it related to, and mobilized, its partisans remained the same: distant and uninspiring. Dean is using new technologies and a new style to mobilize (and create) partisans who see the party as a cause to which they are willing to donate time, money and real energy. In other words, the party is becoming a movement people care about, rather than merely a fundraising apparatus that collects money from elites and runs candidates in election.

Tomasky argues that this is a highly desirable–indeed, essential–development that insiders who doubt (and perhaps doubt fairly) whether Dean is the most electable Democratic candidate need to come to terms with. DR agrees. Between the Dean campaign and the rise of the 527s, the Democratic party is in the process of rejuvenating itself and that’s a very good thing. In fact, they can’t win in any consistent way without it.

That’s why at least some of the debate around Dean misses the point. That’s especially true of attempts to fit his campaign into the (now traditional) ideological debate between liberals and New Democrats, populists and centrists. The changes Dean is bringing to the party are not primarily ideological, but rather operational and structural, and therefore can’t be judged by the standards of that debate.

Time to realize the real debate about winning has moved beyond that. “Newer Democrats”, if DR may coin a phrase, are concerned with how to continue this rejuvenation process and build on it to create a winning party.

Now the last part of this–winning–is something Newer Democrats, especially Dean’s many enthusiastic supporters, need to take a bit more seriously (assertions that he’ll get lots of new voters don’t qualify as serious electoral thinking). How will Dean, if he is the candidate, reach swing voters? What exactly are the states, as Nick Confessore asked the other day, that Dean will carry that Gore did not? Put more bluntly, as Harold Meyerson did the other day: How’s he going to win Ohio?

DR doesn’t know the answers to these questions, but he does know that all we Newer Democrats better start thinking about them. Be a pity to have a nice shiny new party, only to have to suffer through 4 more years of you-know-who.

Posted by Ruy Teixeira at 04:17 PM | link

 



EDM Newsletter


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Oh, Those Liberal College Students! (Apr 12) By Ruy Teixeira


What Does the Public Want on Immigration? (Apr 5) By Ruy Teixeira


Exurbia: The Democrats' Next Frontier (Mar 31) By Ruy Teixeira


2006 Election Outlook: The Macro and the Micro (Mar 30) By Ruy Teixeira


2006 Campaign Watch (Mar 24) By Ruy Teixeira


The Iraq War, Three Years On (Mar 22) By Ruy Teixeira


Will the Real Swingers Please Stand Up? (Mar 22) By Alan Abramowitz


Did the Bin Laden Tape Tip the Election to Bush? (Mar 21) By David Gopoian


The UN: Good Idea, Bad Execution (Mar 16) By Ruy Teixeira


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The Great Bail-Out (Mar 8) By Ruy Teixeira


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Weekly analysis of latest public opinion polls by Ruy Teixeira.


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Articles by Ruy Texieira


"The Battle for the Exurbs" by Ruy Teixeira (New York Times)


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"Old Democrats and the Shock of the New" by Ruy Teixeira (Varieties of Progressivism in America)


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"Reality Check" by Ruy Teixeira (contribution to Boston Review forum on "How the Democrats Can Win")


"White Flight: Bush Loses His Base" by John B. Judis and Ruy Teixeira (TNR)


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"Newer Democrats" by Ruy Teixeira (The Gadflyer)


"Emerging Democrats" by Ruy Teixeira (Prospect, UK)


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